Publications by Sarah Bressan

• Booklet 09 Jan 2020

  Scenarios for Governance Breakdown and Violent Conflict in the EU’s Neighborhood

  By Asena Baykal, Sarah Bressan, Philipp Rotmann, Johannes Gabriel, Dominic Seefeldt
  What could the European neighborhood look like in 2024? Using thought experiments on alternative future developments, these scenarios map out areas of potential governance breakdown and violent conflict in the next five years and show the threat they could pose to the EU.…
• Working paper 30 Sep 2019

  Forecasting and Foresight: Methods for Anticipating Governance Breakdown and Violent Conflict

  By Sarah Bressan, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Dominic Seefeldt
  The paper presents the evolution and state of the art of quantitative forecasting and scenario-based foresight methods and discusses how they can inform strategic policymaking to prevent governance breakdown and violent conflict in Europe’s neighborhood.…
• Commentary 19 Sep 2019

  Can the EU Prevent Deepfakes From Threatening Peace?

  By Sarah Bressan
  Highly realistic fake videos could take online disinformation to the next level. The European Union must take action to prevent deepfakes from becoming the next propaganda tool.…
• Policy brief 24 Jul 2019

  Looking Ahead: Foresight for Crisis Prevention

  By Sarah Bressan, Philipp Rotmann
  European foreign services are experimenting with looking into ‘the future’. How can policymakers make foresight and forecasting effective tools in their efforts to anticipate and ideally prevent violent conflict? Here’s an overview.…
• Commentary 15 Feb 2019

  View From Berlin: The Risk of Deepening the Divide

  By Sarah Bressan