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Publications by Sarah Bressan

All Issue Areas Global Order Humanitarian Action Migration Monitoring & Evaluation Peace & Security Rights & Democracy Data & Tech Politics
Years
  • Evaluation report 17 Feb 2023

    Evaluation of the Policy on WFP’s Role in Peacebuilding in Transition Settings

    By Julia Steets, Claudia Meier, Alexander Gaus, Sarah Bressan, Inji El Bakry, Steffen Eckhard, Jan Kemper, Elena Leuschner
    What effects that did the World Food Programme's projects have on conflict and peace dynamics? How relevant were their policy implementation measures? What factors enabled or hindered their impact? An evaluation from 2012 to 2021.…
  • Podcast 16 Dec 2022

    Krisen von morgen

    By Sarah Bressan, Sonya Sugrobova
    What are Germany and the EU doing to better predict war & violence? And how can we use today's data to tell where things will go wrong tomorrow? A 49security podcast.…
  • Commentary 01 Nov 2021

    Verhexter Ansatz

    By Sarah Bressan
    Nach Afghanistan gilt es, Deutschlands Krisenpolitik zu verbessern: Dafür sollte der vernetzte Ansatz aus Außen-, Sicherheits- und Entwicklungspolitik überdacht und komplexen Realitäten angepasst werden.…
  • Study 01 Sep 2021

    Evaluating P/CVE: Institutional Structures in International Comparison

    By Asena Baykal, Sarah Bressan, Julia Friedrich, Giulia Pasquali, Philipp Rotmann, Marie Wagner
    Preventing and countering violent extremism (P/CVE) is an emerging field with a wealth of experience but few proven recipes for success. Do we know if existing measures are effective?…
  • Policy brief 08 Jul 2021

    Governing Evaluations

    By Sarah Bressan, Julia Friedrich, Marie Wagner
    Evaluating programs to prevent and counter violent extremism (P/CVE) is an emerging field without established recipes for success. Examining common challenges across borders can help make deliberate decisions about the structures governing P/CVE evaluation.…
  • Commentary 06 Jul 2021

    Crisis Early Warning: Berlin’s Path From Foresight to Prevention

    By Sarah Bressan
    Combining crisis early warning and prevention could help Germany become a more strategic international actor. Berlin should link forward-looking risk and resilience analyses with structures for meaningful political decision-making to fulfill its commitment toward preventive engagement.…
  • Commentary 14 Jun 2021

    Krisenfrüherkennung: Von der Vorausschau zur Prävention

    By Sarah Bressan
    In der Verbindung von Krisenfrüherkennung und Prävention liegen Potentiale für mehr außenpolitische Strategie- und Handlungsfähigkeit. Was kann die Bundesregierung tun, damit vorausschauende Analysen nicht folgenlos bleiben?…
  • Article 13 May 2021

    From Conflict Early Warning to Fostering Resilience? Chasing Convergence in EU Foreign Policy

    By Sarah Bressan, Aurora Bergmaier
    To better assess the risk of violent crises, the European Union has invested heavily in early warning systems. How can the EU make sure these capacities contribute to more effective conflict prevention abroad?…
  • Article 16 Apr 2021

    Strategic Foresight: Shaping Germany’s Post-Pandemic Future

    By Sarah Bressan
    Germany’s change in leadership after the 2021 election will come at a critical juncture in the country's future. How could government foresight help create the long-term vision needed to meet Berlin's challenges?…
  • Article 13 Jul 2020

    Welcome to the Grey Zone: Future War and Peace

    By Sarah Bressan, Mari-Liis Sulg
    What could the future of war and peace look like? Which trends in warfare and threats to peace will shape (in)security in Europe and its neighborhood? And what are the key issues at stake in creating a peaceful world?…
  • Study 06 Jun 2020

    New Expectations: Generation Z and Changing Attitudes on German Foreign Policy

    By Philipp Rotmann, Sarah Bressan, Sarah Brockmeier
    New data shows: fewer German voters favor restraint in foreign policy than ever before. In particular, younger Germans expect their country to take on "more international responsibility." What does this mean for German foreign policy?…
  • Study 06 Jun 2020

    Neue Erwartungen: Generation Z und der Einstellungswandel zur Außenpolitik

    By Philipp Rotmann, Sarah Bressan, Sarah Brockmeier
    In der deutschen Wahlbevölkerung steigt der Wunsch nach einem stärkeren Engagement Deutschlands in der Lösung von Konflikten. Vor allem die sogenannte „Generation Z“ erwartet deutlich häufiger als andere Altersgruppen, dass ihr Land international Verantwortung übernimmt. Was bedeutet das für die deutsche Außenpolitik?…
  • Commentary 13 May 2020

    What’s Left of the Failed States Debate?

    By Sarah Bressan
    The number of countries in which state structures have collapsed seems to be growing. But is it really? Are these so-called failed states a threat to global security? And is there an antidote? Five hypotheses, put to the test.…
  • Commentary 01 May 2020

    Gescheiterte Staaten: Fünf Thesen auf dem Prüfstand

    By Sarah Bressan
    Die Zahl der Länder, in denen die geordnete Staatlichkeit zusammenbricht, scheint dynamisch zu wachsen. Bedrohen „failed states“ den globalen Frieden und die Sicherheit Deutschlands? Fünf Thesen auf dem Prüfstand.…
  • Booklet 09 Jan 2020

    Scenarios for Governance Breakdown and Violent Conflict in the EU’s Neighborhood

    By Asena Baykal, Sarah Bressan, Philipp Rotmann, Johannes Gabriel, Dominic Seefeldt
    What could the European neighborhood look like in 2024? Using thought experiments on alternative future developments, these scenarios map out areas of potential governance breakdown and violent conflict in the next five years and show the threat they could pose to the EU.…
  • Working paper 30 Sep 2019

    Forecasting and Foresight: Methods for Anticipating Governance Breakdown and Violent Conflict

    By Sarah Bressan, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Dominic Seefeldt
    The paper presents the evolution and state of the art of quantitative forecasting and scenario-based foresight methods and discusses how they can inform strategic policymaking to prevent governance breakdown and violent conflict in Europe’s neighborhood.…
  • Commentary 19 Sep 2019

    Can the EU Prevent Deepfakes From Threatening Peace?

    By Sarah Bressan
    Highly realistic fake videos could take online disinformation to the next level. The European Union must take action to prevent deepfakes from becoming the next propaganda tool.…
  • Policy brief 24 Jul 2019

    Looking Ahead: Foresight for Crisis Prevention

    By Sarah Bressan, Philipp Rotmann
    European foreign services are experimenting with looking into ‘the future’. How can policymakers make foresight and forecasting effective tools in their efforts to anticipate and ideally prevent violent conflict? Here’s an overview.…
  • Commentary 15 Feb 2019

    View From Berlin: The Risk of Deepening the Divide

    By Sarah Bressan

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