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Study 22 Jun 2017
When Looks Could Kill: Emerging State Practice on Self-Defense and Hostile Intent
By Erica GastonExecutive Summary In the last decade and a half since September 11, armed conflict has been marked by new patterns of warfare. Non-international conflict – conflict between a state(s) and non-state actors – is more likely than direct conflict with other state parties, and is often characterized by… -
Evaluation report 19 Jun 2017
Independent Grand Bargain Report
The Grand Bargain aims to reduce the humanitarian financing gap – estimated at US$ 15 billion – by improving the delivery and efficiency of aid. 52 donors and aid organisations, which account for the lion’s share of the international humanitarian response, have endorsed the Grand Bargain. One year… -
Study 16 Jun 2017
Cash Coordination in Humanitarian Contexts
Background As more agencies are using cash transfer programs in humanitarian contexts, the need for coordination has grown. Currently, the cash working groups established by aid organizations in emergency settings vary in their leadership and institutional setups. This ad hoc approach has helped… -
Project report 14 Jun 2017
Data Power Dynamics: Who Runs the World in 2027?
By GGF 2027 Data Governance Working GroupExecutive Summary In post-industrial societies, data, as well as data-driven technologies, are seeping into many aspects of life – involving a complex group of individuals, organizations, and governments who manage and own the technologies that create, use, alter, and destroy this data. Recognizing… -
Project report 13 Jun 2017
Pandemonium: Risk Factors for Future Pandemics
By GGF 2027 Global Health Working GroupExecutive Summary Since the turn of the century, a series of pandemics have incited global concern: disrupting trade, bringing travel from some regions to a standstill, and spreading panic through affected and unaffected populations alike. These outbreaks – including Severe Acute Respiratory… -
Project report 12 Jun 2017
Volatile Years: Transnational Terrorism in 2027
By GGF 2027 Transnational Terrorism Working GroupExecutive Summary In recent years, technological advancements, globalization, attacks carried out on home soil by foreign fighters and lone wolves, and the rise of transnational takfiri terror organizations, such as the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), have forced policymakers around the… -
Book chapter 08 Jun 2017
Prävention praktisch umsetzen: Gewalt ächten, Menschen schützen
Wie kann Deutschland dem Anspruch genügen, „früher, entschiedener und substantieller“ Gewalt vorzubeugen? Es reicht nicht, das Völkerrecht, den Internationalen Strafgerichtshof, das Völkerstrafgesetzbuch und die Schutzverantwortung zu beschwören, denn deren Normen breiten sich mitnichten aus, im… -
Commentary 07 Jun 2017
The G20 Must Govern the Shift to Low-Carbon Energy
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Article 01 Jun 2017
Analyzing the Onset of the Iraqi Civil War 2004 from the Perspective of Inclusive and Exclusive Elite Bargains
By Bilal BağBeing one of the bloodiest internal conflicts since 1945, the Iraqi civil war unleashed disastrous dynamics in Iraq and the Middle East, which set the course for the current chaos in Iraq and the rise of Islamic State. This dissertation analyses the civil war’s onset in 2004 from the analytical… -
Commentary 31 May 2017
Es ist zu früh, den europäischen Ansatz gegenüber Trump für gescheitert zu erklären
Die europäischen Sorgenfalten nach Trumps Brüsseler Rede sind übertrieben. Sein Auftreten gegenüber EU und NATO ist bislang weit weniger schädlich, als zu befürchten stand. Die größere Gefahr geht gegenwärtig von Trumps Austrocknen der US-Diplomatie aus. „Trump zerstört Europas Illusionen“, titelt… -
Commentary 31 May 2017
Stop Panicking Over Trump and NATO
It was clear from the start that President Trump would not be a normal president for America’s European allies — Trump’s visit to Brussels and Sicily last week confirmed as much. Panicked headlines ensued: “Trump confirms Europe’s worst fears.” However, much of the alarmism surrounding Trump and… -
Working paper 30 May 2017
Perceptions of EU Preventive Diplomacy in Asia
By Garima Mohan, May-Britt StumbaumWith the advent of the Asian century, the region’s importance has increased tremendously not only for trade and investment, but also for global security. Asia has a high potential for conflict. Simmering territorial disputes in East Asia, the erratic behavior of regimes such as North Korea,… -
Commentary 15 May 2017
Mettre fin au déséquilibre entre la France et l’Allemagne, priorité du quinquennat
Emmanuel Macron devrait se rendre aujourd’hui à Berlin et rencontrer Angela Merkel. Il consacre ainsi à l’Allemagne son premier déplacement à l’étranger. En mars dernier, deux photos avaient résumé à elles seules les visions du monde qui se sont opposées au cours de la campagne présidentielle. Sur… -
Book chapter 09 May 2017
Cybersecurity International: Unterschiedliche Prioritäten
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Commentary 08 May 2017
Der fragile Macron-Moment: Weg mit der Schäuble-Orthodoxie
By Thorsten Benner, Thomas GomartMacrons Sieg zeige, dass Frankreich und Europa gemeinsam gewinnen können. Die Mitte sei stärker als die Populisten glauben. So argumentierte Kanzleramtschef Peter Altmaier (CDU) nach der ersten Runde der französischen Präsidentschaftswahlen vor zwei Wochen. Nun ist der Anführer der En Marche-… -
Commentary 08 May 2017
Meeting Macron in the Middle
By Thorsten Benner, Thomas GomartIn March, a set of photographs reproduced in the international press captured two possible futures for France’s relationships with Germany and the European Union. One image showed Marine Le Pen, the presidential candidate of the far-right National Front, meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin… -
Commentary 04 May 2017
Bolivia: No Easy Way Forward, With or Without Morales
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Study 03 May 2017
In the Shadow of Syria
Assessing the Obama Administration’s Efforts on Mass Atrocity Prevention Executive Summary Mass atrocities planned and orchestrated by individuals continue to cause death, pain and destruction for millions of people in Syria, Iraq, South Sudan, the Central African Republic (CAR) and elsewhere.… -
Journal article 01 May 2017
Dragon in the Tropics: Venezuela and the Legacy of Hugo Chavez by Javier Corrales, Michael Penfold (review)
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Commentary 01 May 2017
No Rivals to the King
By Ilyas Saliba, Isabelle Werenfels