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Commentary 21 Sep 2017
Distanziert euch von den Autokraten!
Die Regierungen in Ungarn und Polen ernten schon seit Längerem Kritik von ihren europäischen Nachbarn. So sagte der französische Präsident Emmanuel Macron erst kürzlich, mancher politische Führer aus Osteuropa offenbare eine „zynische Herangehensweise“… -
Commentary 15 Sep 2017
An Era of Authoritarian Influence?
For two decades after the end of the Cold War, the direction of international influence was clear: it radiated from liberal democracies outward, as the West sought to spread its model of governance around the world. With the help of Western-led democracy promotion, the thinking went, authoritarian… -
Commentary 15 Sep 2017
New Wine in Old Bottles: Germany and Conflict Prevention at the UN
Just as Germany’s run for a nonpermanent seat on the United Nations Security Council for the 2019-20 term is gathering steam, its government has published a new white paper, titled “Preventing Crises, Managing Conflicts, Building Peace.” In this release, Germany promises to become more active in the… -
Study 13 Sep 2017
Iraq after ISIL: Baiji
Shi’a PMF forces helped to capture and still control significant parts of this Sunni Arab district. They also looted the area’s most valuable asset, an oil refinery. Civilian returns have been minimal to this district, which faces diminished economic prospects, ongoing security threats from the… -
Journal article 08 Sep 2017
New Development Banks as Horizontal International Bypasses: Towards a Parallel Order?
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Commentary 07 Sep 2017
Wider die Zaun-Scheinheiligkeit
Vergangene Woche forderte Ungarns Ministerpräsident Viktor Orban in einem Brief an EU-Kommissionspräsident Jean-Claude Juncker 440 Millionen Euro. Damit solle die EU „im Geiste der europäischen Solidarität“ die Hälfte der Kosten für den Grenzzaun übernehmen, den Ungarn seit 2015 an seiner Schengen-… -
Working paper 07 Sep 2017
Security Classification and Right to Information
By Erica Gaston -
Commentary 31 Aug 2017
How Interpol Can Be Protected From Despots
On August 19, in Granada, the Spanish police detained the author Dogan Akhanli, a German citizen of Turkish origin, because the international police organization Interpol had issued a red notice for a worldwide search. The German government reacted swiftly and clarified to the Spanish government… -
Study 30 Aug 2017
Sunni Tribal Forces
By Erica GastonLocal, Sunni tribal forces have been key to recapturing and holding ISIL-held areas. However, different mobilization and control patterns in Ninewa and Salah ad-Din have created different forms of Sunni forces, and may determine how much these Sunni forces contribute to stability or tension in the… -
Web essay 30 Aug 2017
Iraq after ISIL: Kirkuk
ISIL’s advance on Kirkuk created opportunities for Kurdish forces to tighten control over oil resources and Kirkuk city in this most coveted part of the Disputed Territories; however, a strong (for now officially accepted) PMF presence in the south, anchored with local Turkmen PMF forces, threatens… -
Commentary 30 Aug 2017
It’s Not Just Venezuela. Central American Democracies Are Under Threat, Too.
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Web essay 29 Aug 2017
Iraq after ISIL: Tikrit and Surrounding Areas
By Erica Gaston, Frauke MaasShi’a PMF and local tribal Sunni Arab hashd hold off ISIL on the frontline in Dour, but their strong presence, and periodic outbreaks of violence and looting challenge ISF’s ability to maintain rule of law in Salah ad-Din’s capital area.… -
Commentary 25 Aug 2017
Wie Interpol vor Despoten geschützt werden kann
Autoritäre Regierungen nutzen die Roteckfahndung von Interpol für grenzenlose politische Verfolgung. Das Problem ist bekannt – die kurzfristige Festnahme des deutschen, türkischstämmigen Schriftstellers Dogan Akhanli im spanischen Granada ist leider nicht der erste Fall, nur das jüngste Beispiel für… -
Article 24 Aug 2017
Fracturing of the State
Although Iraq now appears awash in pro-government militias, the majority of the sub-state or non-state groups that exist today are a relatively recent phenomenon. Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, Saddam Hussein’s strong security apparatus dominated the security landscape. Except for a few notable… -
Web essay 21 Aug 2017
Iraq After ISIL: Tal Afar City
By Frauke Maas, with Erica GastonShi’a Arab PMF from the south have been the main forces present around this ISIL-held area, but if they retake this mixed Sunni-Shi’a Turkmen city, it may spark sectarian and regional conflict.… -
Study 21 Aug 2017
Iraq after ISIL: Mosul
By Erica GastonOnly fully liberated in July 2017, half of the city is severely damaged while weak rule of law allows ample opportunities for a range of armed actors to intervene in Iraq’s second largest city.… -
Commentary 18 Aug 2017
Schröder’s Russian Sell-Out
Last week’s nomination of former German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder to the board of Rosneft, Russia’s largest oil company, is the most spectacular example to date of a Western politician selling out to an authoritarian government. Though the move is unlikely to change Berlin’s stance toward Russia,… -
Commentary 18 Aug 2017
Lehren aus der Schröder-Rosneft-Saga
Letzte Woche nominierte der russische Premier Medvedev Altbundeskanzler Gerhard Schröder für einen Posten als “unabhängiges Mitglied” im Aufsichtsrat von Rosneft, dem größten und staatlich kontrollierten russischen Ölkonzern. Es ist der bislang spektakulärste Fall des Anheuerns eines westlichen Ex-… -
Study 16 Aug 2017
Who’s Who: Quick Facts About Local and Sub-State Forces
This backgrounder is part of a larger study on the role and impact of Local, Hybrid or Sub-state Security Forces (LHSFs) in Iraq. The research surveyed the role played by different local or sub-state groups across three governorates, Ninewa, Salah ad-Din, and Kirkuk, and the impact for local… -
Web essay 16 Aug 2017
Iraq after ISIL: Tuz
Shi’a PMF and local tribal Sunni Arab hashd hold off ISIL on the frontline in Daur, but their strong presence, and periodic outbreaks of violence and looting challenge ISF’s ability to maintain rule of law in Salah ad-Din’s capital area.…