Study 04 December 2025

Seen But Not Heard

Youth radicalization is on the rise, but extremism prevention efforts are not keeping up. How can evaluations help extremism prevention become more attuned to youth realities? 

EVENT | Ideas of Energy: Energy and Climate with Anders Levermann

The climate crisis and the question of energy are inextricably linked. Join us & Anders Levermann (physicist and professor of Climate System Dynamics at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) for a conversation on cutting-edge tech, geopolitics, and tipping points.


📍Dezernat Zukunft, ChausseestraĂźe 111, 10115 Berlin 

đź“… December 17, 2025 đź•§ 19:00 – 20:30 CET (followed by đźĄ‚)

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Commentary

Are We Waiting for a Body Count to Take Extremism Seriously?

Hybrid forms of extremism are rapidly proliferating, both on- and offline. To understand today’s new, more complex threats, governments should be revitalizing and reinvesting in prevention programs — but instead, they are cutting programs and support. 

Study

Space – Flows – Rules: Securing the Commons in a Network Order

In 2025, maps (still) shape incentives, but they no longer dictate outcomes. Power travels not only through straits and passes, but along supply chains, data cables and technical standards. This essay keeps Karl Haushofer’s map, where geopolitics still matters, while discarding his myth: geography frames, connectivity scripts and power‑backed rules decide.

Study

When Your Ally Turns Narcissistic: A Self-Help Manual for Europe Navigating Transatlantic Relations

This study applies insights from psychological research on narcissism to offer a new approach to understanding — and countering — the unprecedented way the US currently wields power vis-Ă -vis its allies.

By Sofie Lilli Stoffel, Philipp Yorck Herzberg

Critical Raw Materials: Reducing Strategic Dependencies in Germany and Europe

Over the past decades, China has become dominant in many critical raw materials supply chains, particularly in midstream segments. In certain cases, Germany is almost entirely reliant on supplies from China.

A new GPPi project is examining structural obstacles to reducing dependencies on China and identifying concrete pathways for Germany to strengthen its resilience. The project aims to equip policymakers and industry leaders in Germany with actionable recommendations and contribute to the European debate on resilience and strategic autonomy in critical raw materials supply.

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Commentary

China-Schock: Deutschland muss sich selbst behaupten

Kollektives Elitenversagen haben uns erpressbar gemacht und deutsche Kernindustrien hilflos dem China-Schock ausgeliefert. Es sei daher Zeit fĂĽr einen Kurswechsel.

Commentary

Alarmstufe Rot bei seltenen Erden

Deutschland sollte von Donald Trumps Entschlossenheit lernen und Pekings Monopol bei kritischen Rohstoffen zu brechen, meint Thorsten Benner.

Commentary

The Forgotten War

The world’s commitment to Sudan needs to be strengthened and coordinated — for the people’s own benefit and for lasting peace.

Commentary

Germany’s National Security Council Must Be Futures-Literate

Germany has finally established a national security council. To truly make German security policy strategic, the council must integrate foresight methods to anticipate possible future developments and policy effects.

Policy brief

Pathways to Peace: Fostering Coordination in Sudan’s Mediation Processes

What potential do diplomatic initiatives like the ​“Quad for Sudan” and the ​“Quartet of Special Envoys” hold to overcome the current stalemate in efforts to end Sudan’s war?

By Maram Mahdi, Gelila Enbaye
Article

Germany Has Stepped Up on Ukraine. Can It Also Lead on Upgrading Europe's Defense Capabilities?

Chancellor Friedrich Merz has further expanded Germany’s support to Ukraine and galvanized European crisis diplomacy. Will the new German government also take the lead in futureproofing Europe’s tech and defense capabilities?

By Jakob Hensing, Ed Bryan, Henri van Soest